East Carolina +5 2.2% play

I did not come away overly impressed by Memphis last week, even though we bet them and they covered over SMU it was a bit of a struggle.  This week they face a gritty East Carolina team, that is hungry for their 6th win and bowl eligibility.  East Carolina has played well on the road.  They had a 16-10 lead at UCF and lost 20-16, they beat Marshall on the road, they were tied with Houston 24-24 late in the 4th quarter and outgained them by over 100 yards.  East Carolina matches up extremely well in the fact that Memphis relies on their passing game ranking 18th in epa pass, and that’s what East Carolina does well defensively ranking 19th in epa pass defense. They are a very impressive 20th overall in success rate defense and have held opponents to 35.73% on third down.  Memphis has struggled to take care of the ball all year ranking 105th in % of offensive possessions ending in a TO, while East Carolina’s defense ranks 6th.  I think this game will be a battle much like East Carolina’s other road games at UCF, Marshall, and Houston, a trio of teams you could say are better than Memphis.

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