South Carolina -1 3.3% play
These are two teams heading in opposite directions, and although Missouri finally covered a spread last week it was against Georgia who honestly could not have been taking Missouri seriously and really played conservatively once they got a decent lead, and still Missouri only put up 6 points. South Carolina meanwhile looks to extend their momentum after beating Florida in dominating fashion. South Carolina is building something here, and I love the HC Beamer, and they want to get to a Bowl game. I can’t say that Missouri cares, I have seen multiple times this season where they had no effort. So the situation for me is with South Carolina. South Carolina has also played the tougher schedule, and have the better numbers with -0.3 ypp against an opponents with +0.73 ypp margin. Missouri comes in at -0.9 vs. opponent +0.26 ypp.
South Carolina’s offense stepped up last week with their third string QB Jason Brown, really looked like the best passer for South Carolina, but it was the running game that got going. South Carolina gets to go up against a bad defense yet again this week as Missouri ranks 129th in epa run defense, and 98th in epa pass defense. South Carolina +4ppg averaging 27 vs. opponents with bad defenses. If Brown struggles for any reason, Beamer, said he’s got Zoland who is healthy enough to play.
Missouri is really banged up, and could be without their starting QB Connor Bazulak, but either way I look for them to struggle vs. South Carolina team that shows effort the entire game. South Carolina ranks in top 50 in epa pass defense and epa run defense. Missouri’s offense has carried the team, but they have not faced many teams that are good at stopping the run and pass. Just two times it has happened and Missouri scored 6 and 14 points. The next best defense they faced was Boston College and they lost on the road in OT.
