Boston College +4.5 2.2% play

This line is a bit inflated in my opinion based off Boston College's blowout loss against NC STate last week 33-7.  However, a closer look revease that BC muffed a punt which was returned for a TD, they threw an INT that led to a TD.  That was 14 points and Jeff Hafley and BC never came back from it.  Louisville 3-3, and has struggled to stop the run ranking 88th in ypc, and 108th in epa run defense.  I feel like BC will be able to run the ball and control the game as Louisville runs a 3-4 defense and are undersized up front.  Louisville is off a bye here, but were 0-2 last year off a bye losing by 21 and 14 points.