West Virginia -130 2.5% play

Virginia Tech is the ranked team, but a road dog, which is usually a great spot to take the favorite.

We have two really good defenses going in an old Big East rivalary in the early going on Saturday.  In my opinion Virginia Tech is a bit over rated after their UNC upset at home to open the season, and the ACC is down this year.  Compare that with the fact that West Virginia lost at Maryland, but gave up two 60+ passing TD’s, which I don’t see happening against Virginia Tech, a team that is 109th with only 12 passing plays over 10+ yards, and will be without their top pass catcher, TE James Mitchell.  I’m also not a big fan of Braxton Burmeister who has been a very inaccurate QB throughout his career, and his legs, which are his biggest threat may not be here on the road against a very stout West Virginia defense, that held two running QB’s in check last year.  West Virginia in their last 3 seasons at home have forced 2 turnovers per game, and Virginia Tech’s offense the last two years has turned the ball over 2 times per game on the road.  This is not an easy place to play.

For West Virginia, I like Leddie Brown at QB, and Jarret Doege has good H/A splits where he had a 148 QB rating at home last year where he is more comfortable.  I expect this offense to play better this year, and they’ll get their chance to prove it at home against an old rival in Virginia Tech.

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