Iowa +10.5 / Utah -1 3.3% Teaser of the week

Both games have low totals in the 40’s for football games, which is rare making the point worth more.

Iowa has not turned the ball over in this series since 2015.  Iowa St runs a 3-3-5 defense, which is built to stop Big 12 opponents, which Iowa is built completely different, which is why Iowa State has struggled to beat Iowa under Matt Campbell 0-4.  What’s interesting is that Iowa State is a -4.5 favorite, which is not a role they have been in as Iowa has been -15.5, -3.5, -3.5, and -1.5 last year. 

This is a battle between arguably two of the best RB’s in the country in Iowa State’s Breece Hall, and Iowa’s Tyler Goodson.  I’m a bit concerned with Hall who seemed out of rhythm last week after battling an undisclosed injury at the end of camp.  I think Iowa will once again play a tight game, something they always seem to be involved in.  This game has been decided by 14 total points the last 3 seasons, and now we have Iowa in the under dog role with a small total.

Utah -1, has won 9 straight games in the Holy War and 6-3 ATS, but 7 have come by 8 points or less, which is why we are teasing this game.  The Utes are more experienced, and go ta great warm up game against Weber State, which is a top 5 FCS squad and nearly missed covering the spread.  A Utes team that brings in QB Charlie Brewer, formerly of Baylor that is used to playing in big games, and as long as he stays healthy could lead Utah to a Pac 12 Championship.  Meanwhile, BYU was outgained by Arizona last week, and had to replace 7 starters on defense.  The offense brings back 7 starters, but gone is Zach Wilson who you could argue saved Kalani Sitake’s job.  BYU played a cupcake schedule last year as well, and return to playing PAC 12 opponents.

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