Iowa State +3.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
I don't think Notre Dame is too thrilled about going to this bowl game in Orlando Florida, meanwhile Iowa State has to be thrilled at 7-5 to be playing a team like Notre Dame. Iowa State might be the best 7-5 team I have ever seen. This is a team that lost to Baylor, Oklahoma and Iowa by a combined 4 points and 2 of those 3 games were on the road. They play for their head coach Matt Campbell, who should have his team competitive in this one.
Notre Dame meanwhile has lost 3 of their last 4 bowl games. I'm not sure where their motivation is for this one. Notre Dame also played 5 ACC teams, and as we are seeing the ACC is really weak this year. Big 12 is probably the #2 conference as they went 7-3 ATS vs. P5 opponents and covered the spread by 7.89 points and they went 6-1 ATS against the Independents. They are actually the only conference that had a profitable year against P5 and G5, as they out performed the market going 7-4 ATS vs G5 winning ATS by 5.12 points. I still don't think the market has caught up and I expect to take advantage this bowl season.
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