Michigan -180 3% play 

I think we are in a buy low spot here with Michigan, a team that easily has more talent than Iowa, and I think the money line offers more value than taking them at -4.  This spread was more like -15.5 before the season.w  I think we are selling high on Iowa, and I was not impressed with Iowa after their win at Iowa State, and felt they were fortunate for all the mistakes Iowa State committed as well as the weather delays usually do benefit the road team.  Michigan and Jim Harbough have struggled with Top 10 teams, and the struggles have generally been on the road not at home.  I would feel better playing the spread if Dylan McCaffrey was healthy, because I'm not a big Patterson fan, but this just feels like the right spot to take Michigan against an overrated opponent in Iowa.


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