LA Tech +20.5 3.3% play
Texas beat Georgia in their bowl game, but that was an unmotivated Georgia team, and Sam Ehlinger claimed Texas waas back, but this is one of the more overrated teams in college football if you ask me, and I love fading the pre-season AP Top 10 in the first few weeks of college football. Texas has just 8 returning starters, and lost their entire front 7, leading rusher, and receiver, and they are getting all this hype. They also have LSU on deck so how motivated is Tom Herman and Texas to run the score up here? Herman, is not that type of coach. In fact he is just 6-15-1 ATS as a home favorite, and lost the last two season openers as a double digit favorite at Texas.
There is a lot to like about Louisiana Tech and Skip Holtz. He's 14-4 ATS as a road dog, and he has a very experienced team with a lot of depth coming into this season. They also have experience playing on the road in SEC Country having played at LSU< and Miss State last year, and South Carolina the year before. J'Mar Smith, the veteran QB has 27 career starts under his belt, and won't be fearful of this environment. I think Smith is going to have a much better year behind a very good offensive line that brings in a 4* LSU transfer to plug a hole, and more talent in the receiving corp. Louisiana Tech's defense is my worry as they switch to the 3-4, but they have a Power 5 caliber secondary, which should slow this game down quite a bit. I don't see any big play TD's for Texas in this game.
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