Alabama -14 5.5% NCAAF POD
Alabama with extra preparation under Nick Saban has been a very profitable ATS situation. I think Alabama's defense really plays a great game here and give Oklahoma and Kyler Murray issues all day. I think there is something to be said about Oklahoma getting the Heisman Trophy award to Kyler Murray over Tua, and Oklahoma getting the Joe Moore award for the best offensive line.
The last two times Alabama was a double digit favorite in the playoff they won by 17 and 38 points. Nick Saban is not going to keep his foot off the gas here knowing how dangerous the Oklahoma offense is. There will be talks about Alabama's struggles against mobile QB's, but that is old news. Alabama now prepares against 2 mobile QB's in practice with Jalen Hurts, and Tua, and this is extra time for Alabama to prepare for Murray. Alabama certainly has the athletes to contain Murry on the outside, and I think the defense dominates this game while Alabama's offense may not punt in this game.
I think the -14 is giving us value here as Alabama did not play great down the stretch, but the time off gives them a chance to regroup offensively.

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