This is a lot of points in a game that will have limited possessions due to the style of play that these two will face off with. Navy has played a lot better down the stretch of the season, and this game is always tight, because these teams know how to defend the option. Navy looks to avenge losing the last two years and they haven't covered the spread in 5 years. However, this is a large shift in this series and I don't believe it is justified. Army regularly the dog now a big favorite, and they won outright the last 2 years by 1 point, and 4 points, and have been an average dog of 11.8 points the last 5 years, and now they are a 7 point favorite. I don't think their is a talent gap that large, and Navy plays a tougher schedule. Army usually playing well in the dog role is now a TD favorite, and I just don't buy it. I've been very impressed with what Jeff Monken has done here, and I have bet on Army on the ML the last few years, but this year I'm going with the value side and backing a Navy team that has played a lot better.