Oklahoma -140 4% play
To me this game is all about line value and what I think is a big coaching edge for Oklahoma. everyone is down on Oklahoma's defense right now, and that is reflected in this line, but what has West Virginia's offense really proven, against good QB's? Oklahoma has the most balanced offense in the country with the #2 passing team and the #1 rushing team from efficiency perspective. West Virginia is just not as balanced ranking 61st at running the ball, and I do think Oklahoma whose run defense is better than last year and have held 8 of 10 opponents under 200 yards rushing will be able to put this all on the shoulders of Will Grier. Grier will have a fantastic day, but don't be surprised if he makes a mistake in the red zone. He's got to be nearly perfect to pull the upset here, and we have seen in years past that they just don't match up well.
The last 4 years West Virginia has been dominated by Oklahoma losing by 28,28,20, and 12. Last year Grier did not play, but you could honestly argue this Oklahoma team and offense is better than last year. I have been really impressed with Kyler Murray and he has truly proven me wrong. As bad as Oklahoma's defense has been in their last two games I think that gives them motivation to come into this game with a chip on their shoulder. This game is the biggest game of the year with a chance to stay in the college football playoff, and really solidify their spot with an impressive win. Lincoln Riley has done well in these Big 12 match-ups, and I think that will continue on Friday night.


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