The weather is calling for light rain and 12mph winds, but I don't expect it to impact the game very much. Nebraska is peaking right now playing their best football, and we know they are going to get effort from Scott Frost, as the team continues to impress, and I just feel like this game means more to Nebraska than it does Iowa. I think they arguably have the best offense that Iowa has faced this year. When you compare them against comparable balanced offenses vs. comparable strength of schedule defenses faced we come up with Penn State, Purdue, and Wisconsin for Iowa. Iowa's defense did not play well in any of those games giving up on average 32 points per game and went 1-2. Iowa's rushing offense is the best of the 4 in my opinion because you have a mobile QB in Adrian Martinez, who is a future Heisman winner in my opinion. Martinez has 553 yards rushing on the year as a freshman, but he's also a very accurate natural passer completing 64% of his passes for 15 TD's and 7 INT's.

Nebraska probably should have won a couple other games, but Martinez missed time, and this team had turnover and penalty issues earlier in the season. On the year they average 8.1 penalties per game, and over their last 3 they are down to 5.7. On the year they have -1 TO margin, but over their last 3 games (November) they are +5 TO margin.

I also think we are getting some value, because if you look at the finals last week. Nebraska won 9-6 over Michigan State, while Iowa thumped Illinois 63-0, but Iowa only put up 400 yards of total offense to get there as they benefited from 4 ILlinois turnovers, and 2 non-offensive TD's. Nebraska's offense actually played much better against Illinois with 54 points, but 606 yards. I think the line here is totally off based on full season statistics, and Nebraska will probably bring more effort here, and I think they benefit from being the road team away from the distractions of Thanksgiving.