Charlotte +6 3.3% play
FIU controls their own destiny to get to the Conference USA Championship game, but Charlotte is desperately trying to get to a bowl game with two wins to close the season. They upset a Southern Miss team last time at home, and went toe to toe with Marshall on the road through the first 3 quarters. This is a hidden gem when you factor in the match-up, and with 3 common opponents Charlotte +147 yards per game compared to FIU who is +67 yards.
Charlotte has faced a far tougher schedule and they went on the road and held SEC TEnnessee to a season low 197 yards, this is a legitimate defense with the strength in stopping the run ranking 13th in the country. What does FIU like to do? They run the ball 56% of the time, and they average 4.91 ypc in wins, 3.15 in losses, and 3.58 ypc on the road. I think FIU struggles to run the ball here, and this will be a close defensive game throughout. I would not be shocked to see Charlotte pull the upset as they lost by only 1 point on the road last year to a more experienced FIU team.
