Clemson -27.5 3.3% play
Grabbing this number now before it goes to 28 or 28.5 as it looks like it will. Clemson won 27-7, but are off a misleading box score. Many will point to the fact that Clemson did not score an offensive TD, and they knocked BC's starting QB out of the game, but I will point to the situation was clearly against Clemson. Trevor Lawrence making his first start north of Virginia, on the road, at night, with Gameday, and freezing temperatures. Yet they still put up nearly 500 yards of offense were +3.99 yards per play +311 yards, and -2 TO margin and still covered the spread.
Duke has not played a defense remotely close to Clemson who is playing their best right now. This team is in playoff mode. Duke barely got by MIami 2 weeks ago despite putting up just 290 yards. Their defense is not very good right now as they have given up 1,099 yards and 10 rushing TD's in their last 3 games. Now they have to face a team that actually has a QB that can throw it and they have to do this on the road. My money is on the big favorite here at home at night.
