Alabama / Miss State Under 52 2.2% play 

The spread on this game has been coming down all week, and that's not because we think Miss State is going to score a bunch.  It's really because Miss State's defense is going to really play well here.  I also don't think Alabama will take many chances with Tua and aggressive play calling so unless Miss State just falls apart stopping the run, and turns the ball over a ton this should go under the total.  You could play the under in live betting if you think Alabama is going to get out the gate fast again, but I'm not sure they will do that and cover the first half for the 10th week in a row.  The 1st half Alabama line is -14.5 easily inflated. 

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