West Virginia has played nobody on defense this year with the exception of Iowa State and they lost that game badly. The next best defense is Texas who ranks 67th in yards per play, but a team that stronger vs. the run than they are against the pass as we saw last week. West Virginia got their asses beat at Iowa State, and although this game is at home I think West Virginia could be overlooking TCU, a team who is very similar to Iowa State on defense, and also ironically beat Iowa State 17-14 earlier this year.

Will Grier got sacked 7 times against Iowa State, and here he faces a similar pass rush in TCU that ranks 30th, Iowa State ranks 32nd in sack % against similar strength of competition. West Virginia hasn't protected Grier well ranking 78th in pass protection. TCU actually ranks better in offensive and defensive success rate when we compare against Iowa State, and their only glaring weakness is against the pass where they rank 61st, but against an average 46th ranked passing offense compared to Iowa State who ranks 37th, vs. #59 strength of schedule.

TCU has had injuries, and they have had turnovers, those are two biggest issues, but this is a team with the coaching edge here, and if there were ever a buy low situation it is here. I think the QB switch to MIke Collins, due to Shawn Robinson's injury is a good one. They are now only turning the ball over 1.3 x per game prior they were turning the ball over 3 and 4 times a game which has cost them easily in several games.

West Virginia has showed issues in the past playing with pressure at this point in the season. With Oklahoma State, and Oklahoma on deck, this is a team that is flawed in my opinion. They commit double the penalties comparedw ith TCU, and TCU also enjoys a better special teams ranking 25th.