We are getting an extra point compared to A&M's road game last week at Miss State +2.5, and that was a night game, this one played at noon a less intimidating atmosphere. I don't care of Auburn and Gus Malzahn are off a bye, he is 20-39-2 ATS since 2014, and I think the Aggies simply match-up well against Auburn. Also, Aggies final last week against Miss State was extremely misleading. Nick Fitzgerald had 2 third and long TD passes including a 84 yarder on 3rd and 20, and there was a 14 point swing with A&M trailing 21-13 late threw an interception in the end zone and Miss State went on a long TD drive.

Auburn is a team that needs to run the ball. When they don't rush for over 200 yards they are just 4-11 since 2016, and TExas A&M has an elite run defense right now they rank 20th in yards per carry and that has come against some of the best rushing offenses. They have not allowed any opponent to average more than 5 yards per carry or rush for more than 147 yards. The average rushing offense they have faced comes in at 23.8, and Auburn's struggling unit comes in at #97, and they have that ranking facing #66 run defense. Their top RB JaTArvious Whitlow is questionable for this game with an ankle injury which is not a good sign for a RB.

If Auburn goes to the pass they will be in trouble as they have not been able to protect Jarret Stidham very well and he has struggled. TExas A&M one of the best in the nation at getting to the QB ranking 6th despite a challenging schedule. I think A&M should be a 4 point favorite on neutral field, and early sharp money agrees pushing this line from 6 down to 3.5, but don't worry there is still value as the road team is 6-0 SU&ATS in this series since the Aggies joined the SEC.