Florida -7 2.2% play
My math models have this game around -10. Normally I would want to fade FLorida in this situation, but they are a different team this year. They rely on the run and they are good at it ranking #25 in the country despite facing an adjusted opponent defense ranking #1. Vanderbilt comes into this game ranking #84 defending the run, and that's against an opponent average rushing attack ranking #53. The strength of this Vanderbilt offense is the QB play, but they are facing #10 ranked QB defense. Florida also able to get after the QB ranking #9 in the country.
All that travels and Florida is ranked #4 in TO margin while Vanderbilt ranks #42. Vanderbilt should have beaten Notre Dame on the road when Notre Dame still had Whimbush at QB and we backed Vanderbilt in that game, but since that game Vanderbilt has lost 2 games vs. SEC foes by 23 points, and 28 points. Florida fits in that category and there is no hangover here as they want to go into their bye week excited for what they have coming out of the bye facing Georgia in 2 weeks.

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