Utah -13.5 3.3% Play
Both teams off misleading victories last week, but Utah has had many misleading losses this year and could very easily be undefeated. Their misleading victory over Stanford was at least a dominating 40-21 on the road. Arizona got +4 TO's against Cal including two pick 6's, but only won 24-17 at home. Now Arizona most go on the road to on a short week to play Utah who has got some confidence, and their head coach Kevin Sumlin is complaining about the short week which just gives your players excuses early in this game if things don't start well.
Utah got great play by their QB last week Tyler Huntley and he was finding multiple receivers which is a great sign for this offense. I'm not surprised as I was high on Utah coming into this season. Huntley has had a challenging scheduling going up an average opponent sack rate of #43, and average opponent QB rating of 42, and an average opponent rushing ypc of 40.25. Here, Arizona ranks #65 vs. the pass vs. waek competition, and #99 in sack %, and their run defense is #91 vs. the run. This should help create balance for a Utah offense that has struggled at times this year. I don't see how they don't put up 31 points with RB Zack Moss probably having the ability to rush for 100+ yards again.
Arizona's offense with QB Tate was highly touted coming into the year, but the coaching change and Tate being forced to throw more along with his health has held this offense back. Offensively they really don't do anything well. They rank 47th in ypc, but that has been against an opponent defense ranking #74.4, here they face Utah #6 at home. They rank #93 in QB rating and that has been against an average QB defense of #70, here Utah ranks #34, and Utah's secondary has been tested a bit for sure. The weather is going to be cold at 46 degrees for those Arizona boys so when Utah gets up I don't think there is any back door open for them to cover this spread.
