Texas is built to beat Oklahoma, and Oklahoma is built to beat all Big 12 teams which is the reason they have struggled in this match-up in the past despite being big favorites they are 0-5 ATS the last 5 years vs. Texas in this game. Tom Herman 11-1 ATS as a head coach with 8 outright upsets as an underdog is very impressive.

Oklahoma comes into this game high flying after 66-33 win over Baylor, but it's Baylor. Oklahoma has not faced any team worth speaking about other than Iowa State who just over achieves each year with the talent they have. This will be the game that Oklahoma misses RB Rodney Anderson as the struggling running game will have issues moving the ball against Texas defense.

Oklahoma might want to put it in Kyler Murray's hands, but I actually think that is what will win this game for Texas. Murray has been inaccurate all year long from what I have seen he's been lucky to have guys running wide open. Here he goes up against the #19 pass defense and that's just not going to happen. So far Murray has faced an average 97.4 pranked pass defense. Texas also comes into the game ranking #32 in opponent interception % thrown. Murray has gone against #99, 118, 93, 120 and #89 in that category. Oklahoma's schedule has been weak their 5 opponents are 1-10 vs. the Power 5. Meanwhile Texas has beaten ranked opponents in TCU, and USC. Texas played well in this game last year behind QB Sam Ehlinger and took the lead late. I expect they will have a shot to win this game yet again in the 4th quarter.