Nobody wants to touch Arkansas right now and that's exactly the time we would like to back them. I think there is tremendous value here and if you don't see a 21.5 you will on Saturday, but I like 21 as I have this line at 17. The spread in this game the last 3 years has been under a TD.

This will be a neutral field game at Jerry World in Dallas. Arkansas 0-3 ATS vs. Texas A&M 4-0 ATS which just creates more line value and Arkansas looked pretty damn good against Auburn holding them to 225 yards in their 34-3 loss.

Arkansas has to clean up its act on special teams, and not turn the ball over here and they should cover the spread. A&M has only forced 1 TO all season, and they have struggled protecting their QB and will face Arkansas who is 3rd in adjusted sack rate. The Aggies also have struggled to run the ball against Clemson/Alabama who I know have a better defense than Arkansas, but Arkansas was very impressive last weekend against a very good Auburn offense on the road.

Texas A&M meanwhile off their big game against Alabama. TEams typically do not play well following an Alabama matchup.