Kansas +17 3.3% play
Oklahoma State was on the doorstep of cracking into the Top 10 after their blowout of Boise State which was extremely misleading. Now they are coming off a big loss against Texas Tech at home, and there are red flags all over the place for this team. Since 2008 they are just 14-15-1 ATS following a SU loss so it's not like this team rebounds under Gundy, and I also think they may not be excited for this game especially since with a loss they really can't be thinking about bigger things this season. In their last meeting at Kansas this was a 24-20 game halfway through the third quarter and I think Kansas can draw some confidence from that.

Kansas is playing good defense holding all 4 opponents under 40% success rate and two of them under 30%. Oklahoma State has struggled on offense with Taylor Cornelius at QB and he just lost his second leading receiver who chose to red shirt and transfer. Oklahoma State's offense is only 13-40 on third downs this year and they have 7 TO's in 4 games. Meanwhile Kansas is +12 TO margin on the year and has only turned the ball over once.
Kansas is certainly improved and I think they get a huge opportunity to prove that their two wins against Central Michigan and Rutgers were not a fluke. My one worry would be the offensive line as Oklahoma State lead the nation with 19 sacks, but Kansas is actually smart running the ball 60% of the time and they have averaged over 5 yards per carry on the season led by Freshman Pooka Williams, 8.02 ypc. Oklahoma State's run defense has been solid, but their last trip to Kansas they actually allowed over 200 yards on the ground. Overall I think this game is going to be more of a defensive game, and I think Kansas can win the turnover battle.

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