I expect North CArolina to show up big time for their state following the hurricane. They'll be fresh this week while Pitt faced Georgia Tech and 56 rushing attempts with cut blocking. I think North Carolina can run the ball here. They actually outplayed a very good California team in week 1 but had 4 turnovers. They had 164 yards rushing at California. That's the same Justin Wilcox defense that stuffed BYU rushing attack for 91 yards, which just got done going on the road and beating up on Wisconsin with 191 yards rushing. Meanwhile Pitt has given up 500+ rushing yards the last two weeks.

North Carolina has line value because they lost 41-19 against East Carolina in what I am just calling a flukey game. Pat Narduzzi has not beaten Larry Fedora since he has joined the ACC and I don't expect they will here, but they are a 3.5 point favorite based on what North Carolina did against East Carolina. The last 7 meetings have all been decided by 7 points, and North Carolina has the better special teams and the field goal plus the hook, playing at home.