Illinois +28 3.3% play
This line is off by 4-5 points in my opinion it should be around 23 or 23.5. We also have an unusual situation here with Penn State traveling on a short week, facing an opponent they have no seen since 2015, and playing at 9pm at night. Penn State also clearly looking ahead to next week's home game against Ohio State while Illinois has a bye. Illinois would love to go into a bye with a well played game here, and I think they can have success in this game by slowing the game down.
Penn State's offense with 53ppg is extremely misleading. Trace McSorley has not played very well compared to last season and has really missed the offensive coordinator Joe Moorehead completing 52% of his passes compared to 67% and they haven't played anyone worth speaking of.
I think Illinois here can have enough success running the ball whether AJ Bush is out there or not Rivers looked good as the backup QB a week ago. Illinois ranks 28th in the nation averaging 5.2 yards per carry, and Penn State has not been a rock stopping the run. Illinois RB MIke Epstein is really underrated 7.17 ypc.
