This is far too many points for Georgia to be laying against a very good C-USA team in Middle Tennessee with 17 returning starters and an experienced QB. The reason is Georgia looked fantastic last week against South Carolina on the road, and Middle Tennessee has already lost to an SEC opponent of lesser quality in Vanderbilt 35-7. That was a very misleading final as MTSU was only -52 yards in that game, and they always struggle playing their instate rival.

Georgia is getting Alabama respect here and I don't know that it really is deserving. Let's take a look at Georgia against non-p5 opponents. This year they ran just 60 plays in a 45-0 win over Austin Peay. Last year they defeated App State by a score of 31-10 and ran only 64 plays. Last year against Samford they won 42-14 and only ran 69 plays. IN 2016 they beat Nichols St 26-24 at home, and 35-21 over Lafayette.

On the other hand Middle Tennessee covered as +35 in 2015 at Alabama, +7 at Missouri in 2016 winning outright, +10 last year at Syracuse winning outright. They have had their struggles against Vanderbilt, but have played well against other P5 opponents. Georgia also moved this game up to a noon kickoff because of the hurricane so it will be an easier road environment for MTSU and Georgia is going to want this game to be over quickly with a road game at Missouri on deck.