We backed Umass last week against Boston College and they were pretty much out of the game by the end of the first quarter. I do like what i'm hearing from head coach Whipple and the defensive players who want to rebound. I think they will here against Georgia Southern who is back to running the triple option. Most of what hurt Umass last week was through the air, and they should be able to put up 30+ points in this matchup. This was a matchup they led 48-17 in the first half last year. I see we are getting roughly 9 points of line value based on Umass getting dominated by a BC team that is much improved this year.

Umass has done very well on the road in the past and return 9 starters on offense including QB Andrew Ford which is why I backed them at +18 last week. Last year they hung and had chances to win at Tennessee as a +28 dog, and they were in the game against a very good Miss State team as +33 dogs. Remember this is now their 3rd game and they have been battle tested along with one easy game. This is is a coin flip game for them, and I expect they will have a lot of things to apply from games 1 and 2 to this week's game plan to come up with a win.