This spread looks too high for Toledo, a MAC team facing Tulsa, an AAC team. Normally I would tend to agree especially since Tulsa was a 10 win AAC team. In a slow paced game this is more like -3 Toledo, but the fact of the matter is both of these teams like to play as fast as possible. Toledo has the better defense and Tulsa is starting an inexperienced QB in Chad President who is more of a runner than he is a passer. Tulsa just gave up 42 points to UL-Lafayette and have no regard for their defense as they ran 92 plays. Lafayette actually had 7.95 yards per play in that game and 10 trips in Tulsa's territory, but only came away with 4.5 points per trip. It's also worth noting that Tulsa lost 4 of their top 5 offensive players.

Toledo in this game is much more balanced and they have star QB in Logan Woodside. Woodside completed 69.1% of his passes a year ago for 45 TD's and only 9 interceptions. Toledo will also push the pace with 85+ plays and they held Nevada's offense in check on the road. Nevada is a much improved team this year (see week 1 vs. Northwestern). Toledo will be able to run and pass in this game and that makes them more dangerous in the red zone. Tulsa I feel will be more one dimensional and if they opt to pass too much they will more than likely have a few mistakes with President at QB.