VS.

6**NBA POD



63% run on NBA POD's last 27 plays! 

 




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Warriors/Spurs- Spurs still without Ginobli and may be without Duncan here tonight who is questionable with his sore knee.  Even if Duncan does play he has not and will not be the same Duncan the Warriors saw the last time they met in a 5 point OT loss where Duncan and Ginobli had 32 points a piece.  Also in that match up the Spurs got to the FT line 16 more times on average at home the Spurs only get to the FT line +1.2 times per game and the Warriors only get to the FT line -.4 times a game.  So I expect that part to even out and I expect the Warriors to play with some poise when they are on revenge in this situation.  The Warriors are 24-17-2ATS after a loss this season.  The refs for this game are a combined 11-21ats for the home favorite of 5-9.5 points proving to us that they like to call a close game.  I also have two trends that fit this match up in favor of the Warriors.  Teams who are coming off a game where they went under the total and are playing any team as an away dog 8-9.5pts are 37-15-1ATS (71%).  Also teams who are coming off a loss SU+ATS +Under on the road now playing any opponnent as an away dog all lines are 42-20-4ATS this season with a margin of victory of just -1.8pts.  With us getting 9.5 pts for the Warriors on revenge with the possibility of a less than 100% Tim Duncan I will go with the Warriors in this one. Warriors +9.5 (6** NBA POD) + 3**BONUS on the Under 208 (3* play)


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