Orioles -115 3* MLB POD
We took yesterday off in MLB after losing 2 consecutive days with the Orioles after a blown save and an 8-4 loss. However, the Orioles also had the day off and they come into this game 23-7 in their last 30 games following a day off. They are also still 36-15 in their last 51 following a loss and 10-4 in their last 14 meetings with the Rays. I think overall they have the total pitching advantage.
The Orioles have the 4th best bullpen ERA while the Rays are 27th and have the 25th worse ERA on the road this year. Jeremy Hellickson has pitched well at Camden Yards in the past, but Jones and Davis have hit him hard going 18-49 with 4HR. The long ball has fueled this Orioles team and Hellickson has struggled giving them up especially against LHB who he's given up 8 HR to as they have a .918 OPS against him. The Orioles line up will feature 5 lefties. While the Rays line up features 6 lefties.
COL/SF U9.5 Runs -120 1.2* play
I like the under in this spot the Rockies have been struggling lately vs. lefties and they have not had huge success against Bumgarner who has a 2.18 ERA on the year and a 2.58 ERA in 12 career starts vs. the Rockies. In 9 of their 15 games vs. LH starters they have scored 3 runs or fewer in the entire game. Their successes are against some bad LH pitchers or pitchers who had been struggling and neither is the case tonight.
Rockies counter with De La Rosa who has a 3.06 ERA in 13 career starts vs. the Giants and has been pitching well this year. The Giants are 27th in OPS vs. LHP on the season. The Rockies like the Giants are backed by an excellent bullpen so I think the under will stay in good shape once the bullpens take over as the Giants are ranked #1 in ERA and the Rockies #6. These two starters have a career of 25 combined starts against each team and the total is Under 15-9-1.
Jason Hammell is actually pitching better vs. LHB than RHB which is rare considering he is a RHP. The same case was true last year as lefties had a .586 OPS against him compared to RHB with a .692. He'll benefit in this match up and he's also on an extra day of rest. Tampa is 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a RH starter and have had more success vs. lefties this season. Hammel has held Longoria to 0 hits in 4 AB.
