4-0 This Week
Well we went 4-0 yesterday and we are on fire just check out our records page! Again we continue to be successful and I have given you 4 in a row on free plays yesterday we got a little bit of luck with the Cardinals coming back late to win! That makes up for all the free picks we got hosed on last week.
Today we have interleague play! The story in interleague play is over juiced lines favoring the AL. Anyway our free pick will come on the AL Rays, but not on the over juiced money line which has moved from -221 to -250 in most places. We'll be taking the run line here!
As I mentioned in my article on the run line the Nationals have lost 85% of their games on the road by more than 1 run. Basically when you think they are going to lose take their opponent on the run line it has paid off 85% of the time when they are on the road. Of course it has to fall into place where the home team wins games at home by more than 1 run and we get exactly that with the Rays. 77.8% of the Rays wins have been by more than one run at home this year!
Nationals are 13-45 their last 58 road games. Stammen is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 and the Rays I think are starting to get hot here 20 runs in their last 2 games all at home. They are a dominant team at home 18-12 this year and Garza who is winless in his last 3 despite throwing a 1.06 WHIP will be hungry! Expect a gem out of a pitcher who is pitching well but not getting wins. Everyone is a competitor they want the stats too. Nationals just .193 average last 5 scoring 2.57 runs/9. While the Rays .277avg 6.82 runs/9 last 5 vs. RHP. Also worth adding their bullpen has a 1.08 ERA last 5 which they may not even need!
