5-2 Last Week
With the Giants ace going in the rubber match I think ti is safe to say they should take this game. We don't get a lot of value on the money line here as it as shot up a bit to -170. SF is 21-11 at home this year and 9-3 in their last 12. This will be the first time the Angels see Lincecum and I think they'll struggle all day. Palmer on the hill for the Angels is not bad at all either, but he is not as good on the road with a 5.63 ERA. In his last start he allowed 10 Hits 3BB in 6IP while giving up just 3ER. He can not have that kind of start here today on the road. 7 of his 9 starts haven't gone more than 6.1IP which means it will go over to the bullpen which has been awful with a 9.00 ERA last 5. Even worse now that Scott Shields is out now so that won't give them much help.
Lincecum had an 8-1 record with a 2.62 ERA during the day last year and he's backed by a Giants bullpen at 1.89 ERA last 5. Giants are 12-4 in Lincecums last 16 home starts.
Lastly, 85.7% of the Giants home wins have been by more than 1 run and of the 17 losses the Angels have had on the road 70.5% of them have been by more than 1 run.
