Phillies bats have really heated up and it's hard not to take them with Lee on the mound who has back to back complete game shut outs vs. the Nationals. Nats also in thier last games scoring just 3 runs per game and have struggled vs. the Phillies just 13-44 in their last 57 meetings. Marquis has been solid but starting to come back down to life with an ERA near 5 over the last 3 starts. also the Nationals at home have a .183 average 2.97 runs per 0 vs. LHP.
I like the Braves simply because Latos has struggled on the road and at night and the Padres are terrible vs. LHP which they will face tonight. Padres .153 with 0.62 runs per 9 last 10 vs. LHP and are just 10-23 in their last 33 vs. the Braves.
Brewers have struggled vs. the REds this year and last. but Greinke has a complete game 12 K performance that should give him some confidence vs. the Reds. Greinke's numbers don't jump out, but he's been extremely unlucky his ERA is over 5 but his XFIP is 1.58 meaning that he's due to be trending the other way. 13K/BB ratio tells part of that, but the .348 BABIP is one of the unluckiest. He also goes up against Reineke who is over achieving in the minors. I think Brewers get back to what they were doing at home tonight.
