So why the line movement? You can expect a great performance from Jurrjens who was solid vs. Boston at Fenway in his last outing where he went 6.1IP 8H 2ER, but had 6K's. He gave up a rare HR to David Ortiz in a small park at Fenway. Pitching tonight in a pitchers park I think he'll have a nice come back game. He has proven that he has been able to pitch better in his 2nd start vs. a team. He struggled vs. the Nats 5.1IP 3ER earlier in the year and came back 10 days later to pitch 7.2 innings and give up 0ER. What this tells me is the guy makes the necessary changes and adjustments when facing a lineup for the second time. He'll also see 1 less batter with Beckett hitting here tonight instead of a DH.. which could be good or bad because Beckett has hit well.
The under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in ATL between the two. The under is also 12-3 in the last 15 game 1 starts.
Even though I'm confident Jurrjens has a strong start here at home I don't think it will be enough for as dominant as Beckett has been especially vs. the Braves who are hitting .211 off him in their career combined. The REd Sox are also 61-22 in their last 83 inter league games.
