As mentioned on the radio show I will be taking the Brewers here today still. Brewers have a .296 average vs. Vazquez and they are at home in this one. Vegas is giving Vazquez too much credit in my opinion and he has to come down to earth soon. I bet it happens on the road. Expect the Brewers to jump all over him, but note this is not the reason why I like the Brewers here today.
Manny Parra 13 IP 1ER since coming back from AAA after he was awful earlier in this season was seen throwing 66% fast balls 10% change ups vs. the Cardinals where he went 7 innings of quality ball. His velocity also up 3mph and throwing 94-95mph. Anytime you can have a lefty that throws this hard you are going to see good results. In his first match up vs. the Braves you saw him struggle, but again he threw 44% fast balls and 30% changeups in that game. He did not have a good game and he needs to set up his changeup by establishing the fast ball any pitcher knows this. Parra young needed to learn a little bit and I think he still has a lot to learn, but this is the guy who went 8-2 in the first half last year expect to see some signs of that guy in the 2nd half of the season.
Note: Why this is not a premium play as I thought it might have been when I spoke on the radio show is because the Braves are sizzling right now. While I like Parra's chances to throw a quality start I do not know if 7 innings of 1-2ER ball will be enough. However I still like them here today as a value play!
