Okay, Halladay has not been winning mostly due to the run support, but he comes off arguably his worst start going 5IP and giving up 4ER. He has given up 4ER or more 5 times this year and what has he done after that? He's come back with a 2.13 ERA in the 5 starts following combined. His worst start was 7 IP 3 ER following a performance of 4+ ER. I expect much of the same against the Rays who are traveling from Tampa Bay after striking out 15 times yesterday in a 4-0 loss to the Rangers.
Expect Halladay to throw a solid game against the Rays in his 5th start against themt his year. He has 2.10 ERA against TB this year, but TOR is 1-3 in those losses he got 5 total runs of support. He still gives his team a great chance to win and I like the Blue Jays chances at home against Niemann.
Niemann has a 4.42 ERA away compared to his 2.67 ERA at home. BB's and the long ball have been what hurt him. Blue Jays if you remember took Josh Becket deep 3HR just a short while ago so why can't they beat up Niemann here? Blue Jays are #20 in BB, but #7 in HR and Rogers Centre is ranked #7 for most HR hit per game at a ball park. The Rays are struggling in their last 5 games with a .234avg and 3.72 r/0 vs. RHP in their last 5 while the Jays are hitting .293 scoring 4.78 r/9 in their last 5 vs. RHP. Rays are also 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. RH starter now facing the best RH starter in the AL in my opinion.
