MLB Play of the Days (POD's):
87-40 (68.3%) +128.79 units of profit! (+$128,799)
I know everyone is probably concerned with Hammel and his 7.02 ERA with the notion that he "can't pitch at home." His 8 IP 1 ER performance on the road against the Dodgers is an indication of the stuff he has on the road and may I add he had 0 BB. That's not something Clayton Kershaw can really say in his career. Hammel has build on his last 2 home starts which have been of 3 ER and at least 5IP. Nothing spectacular but I don't believe he has to be spectacular here tonight. I also believe the Dodgers are struggling right now and the confidence is not there. They are batting just .228 in their last 10 scoring 3.62 runs per 9 innings against RHP and the Rockies are actually 6-1 in Hammels last 7 home starts despite his poor pitching.
Kershaw will have to go more than 5 IP here and I don't even think he will. His 4.12 ERA on the road is far from where it should be with all the walks he gives up he is lucky he doesnt have a higher ERA and that is because he has been able to strike people out. He has had 8BB in his last two starts and despite his nice performance at home with 5IP against the Rockies he still walked 5 batters something that he won't live to see against the Rockies at home. In his last 2 starts at Colorado all in 2009 he has gone just 10.2 IP given up 12H 8 BB and 12 ER. So he has a total of 13BB in 15.2 IP against the Rockies this year where as Hammel has not walked a single Dodger. Colorado has also been far better vs. LHP than RHP especially at home where they have a .312 avg and 7.84 rusn per 9 on the season. They are hitting .38 points higher in average and scoring 2.24 more runs per 9 at home vs. LHP than RHP. They are 11-1 in their last 12 vs. LH starters at home also. I'm settling with the Rockies big here.
