102-48 (68%) +143.48 units of profit! (+$143,480)
Do not be afraid of the Rangers with Feldman and his misleading 16-5 record! Why would I say something like that he's got great numbers right? Well along with luck Feldman has been night and day away and at home. In the hitters ballpark in Arlington he posts a 4.88 ERA and his team has a losing record when he does pitch at home with a 6-7 record. Don't get me wrong he has been ridiculous on the road with a 2.58 ERA and a 12-1 record, but he won't be pitching on the road or during the day where he posts an ERA 2.01 runs lower than his night ERA of 4.07. He'll face the Angels for the 4th time and the Angels have hit him better in each start. I don't even have to tell you the stats all I have to tell you is his pitch count from the 1st game to the 3rd time he faced the Angels. All 6 innings 108, 116, 121. No other team makes pitchers work like the Angels. This is the same pitcher who a year ago posted a 8.06 ERA vs. LA and his home starts translated into 9.2 IP 14 ER against the Angels. I don't see him getting into the 7th inning and you know that's trouble for a bullpen that has a 5.56 ERA over the last three games and has been working hard due to short starts by the rotation. In the last 5 games starters have averaged 5.1 IP as opposed to the Angels 6.2 IP average. This gives the Angels a big time advantage in the bullpen. Did I mention how the Rangers have hit? 1 run in their last 5 games you did not misread that. They must have faced some good starting pitchers... With the exception of Kazmir last night and Felix Hernandez they have not. They went up against Cahill, Tomko, and Edgar Gonzalez for the A's. This team is just flat right now because of the run the Red Sox went on. Fedlman has a 8.10 ERA in his last 4 home starts and the Rangers are 1-6 in his last 7 as a home favorite.
Weaver will take the mound for the Angels and it's usually bad news on the road for him, but I like him a lot coming off a 5 ER performance against the Yankees. His last three away starts he has a 2.34 ERA and that is including the 5 ER performance against the Yankees who had three 2-out RBI's including a couple runs in the 8th that knocked Weaver out of the game. Overall he has pitched well as of late, but now that he is coming off a 5 ER performance I see him pitching even better. Angels are 7-1 when Weaver is pitching and coming off giving up 4 ER or more. The lone loss in this trend he put up 6 shutout innings, but the Angels lost. Weaver also making his 5th start against the Rangers and he has 3 quality starts and 1 very bad start where the Rangers bats just went crazy something I don't see as a possibility here today. Rangers in Weavers 7/1 start had five 2 out RBI's and were 6-13 with runners in scoring position. Take that start out and Weaver has a 3.25 ERA vs. Rangers. Angels are 20-7 last 27 when Weaver pitches and the opponent scored 2 runs or less in previous game. What does that even mean? It means that when a team is struggling to hit the ball facing Weaver usually does not help them. Again Weaver has struggled at times on the road, but the Angels are 8-3 in his last 11 road starts and I like him in this spot to rebound off his last pitching performance.
