These odds are great for the home team. The Braves bullpen has been so bad this year I normally would not touch this team, but they come into this game facing a team with a bullpen that is just as bad if not worse. So in reality it's an even trade off so looking at the starting pitching I see the Braves in a significant advantage based on a few variables.

Jason Marquis is coming off a high effort 8 innings 2 ER on 113 pitches and at his age that will be hard to duplicate going on the road on just 4 days rest against Atlanta who is 11th in OPS vs. RHP. Atlanta's offense is not elite, but at home and against RHP they have been pretty damn good. They are scoring more than a run per 9 better vs. RHP and have averaged 5+ runs per 9 at home vs. RHP and 6.35 in their last 5 games overall. Freeman, Markakis, Maybin and AJ P all have good numbers against Marquis.

For Atlanta they will start Eric Stults who in reality won't get anyone excited about wagering. However, Stults is pretty consistent and when you look at the fact he's done pretty well vs. 4 top 11 offenses to start the year and now he faces the Reds who are 22nd in OPS vs. LHP and 20th on the road there is a lot to be excited about at this value which says the Braves are under dogs which I can no accept given all the facts we have outlined.

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