I was on the Nets a day ago against the Warriors and I actually watched that game to really get a read on this team to see if we can find value on them over the next week or so since they are 2-20 they are going to be dogs for a while. For the most part I liked what I saw from Harris, Douglas Roberts, and Lopez down low is a big boy. I don't think Hibbert will be able to stop Brooke Lopez here tonight at all. Now with Granger out until mid January who is going to score for this Pacers team?
Why are the Nets dogs here? Well for one thing they are 2-20 on the year, but they have won more games since these two teams faced off and the Nets lost 91-83 at home. The thing I learned in the last match up is the Nets are sloppy and make careless mistakes which leads to easy buckets from the Warriors. The Warriors are much faster than the Pacers and turning the ball over really is not the Pacers game. While the Warriors who forced the Nets to turn the ball over 22 times are ranked #1 in the league in turning the ball over the Pacers are among the leaders in turning the ball over themselves not forcing the TO. In fact they average 16.3 turnovers while the Nets turn the ball over less at 16.0. 25.9 % of the Pacers possessions end in a turnover while the Nets come in at 26.1%, however that was earlier in the season with all the injuries and relying on Rafaer Alson who is int he top 20 in turnovers getting significant minutes.
Indiana has crashed 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games and in the game they beat the Nets that game was won in the 1st quarter as the Nets outscored the Pacers in every quarter from there out winning 2nd through 4th quarter 62-60. That game was played without Devin Harris 16.3ppg and Courney Lee 14.33 in his last 6 games including 5.3 rpg. Nets get a lot of help and should shoot better than 36%from the field. Nets had 3 players play 40+ minutes with just 8 in the rotation. That will change here tonight and the Nets won't give up 19 and 10 to Roy Hibbert either. So where is the Pacers offense going to come from? Well that's the question they have shot just 41.5% in their last 5 and they have played three bad defenses in Warriors, Kings and Jazz. Now without Granger that % should go down and the young players will get a lot of playing time. Nets have more talent on the court tonight and they take this game outright.
