Okay here we go for the Bucks who are 9-3 at home and have beaten some pretty good teams here. They actually only have lost by more than 2 once against the Cavs. Their other 2 losses were by 2 to Dallas in OT and by 2 to Orlando by 2. None the less they have played extremely well @ home this year in my opinion outscoring opponents by nearly 6 points while the Lakers are only out scoring opponents on the road by 2 points on the road.
This is a very tough situation for the Lakers who are playing on 0 days rest and do not play well in that situation. Considering they trailed by 1 in Chicago last night the starters played a lot of minutes including 39 from Kobe, 39 from Gasol and 45 from Artest.
The Bucks on the other hand is on 3 days rest and has had to be looking forward to this game. The Lakers are 1-3 ATS on 0 days rest scoring their least amount of points and giving up their most points. Michael Redd came back on Saturday and will provide a boost in his second game to rookie of the year candidate Brandon Jennings. Andrew Bogut quietly has been putting up monster numbers 21.3 ppg and 10.3 rpg in his last three games. I just have not been in love with what the Lakers have done on the road. They won by 3, 1, lost by 26, lost by 8, and won by 9 @ Chicago after they trailed after 3 quarters.
The underdog is 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Bucks have covered the last 6 meetings.
BONUS GAME
Take Twolves pk (3-Dime POD RU)[/]
I got to go with the Wolves here in this spot as the Clippers are 13-40 ATS in their Last 43 following a SU win and although they have the players and have beaten the Twolves twice this year I am just not pumped up and confident they will do it again. In both match ups the Wolves were without Kevin Love who is going to help their rebound efforts big time as love is averaging 13ppg and 12 rpg this year. Twolves were out rebounded by 12 rebounds in the two road games combined. I think having the game back at home where the Clippers are -4 rebound margin on the road and Kevin Love playing will swing the rebound margin in the Wolves direction giving them the win. After all they lost by 4 and just 3 @ LA.
Twolves are also playing their best basketball in their last 5 they have played on the road against some solid teams @Utah, @ SAC, @ LAL, home vs. NOH, and @ Tor. They are scoring 4 more points per game offensively +0.3 FG%, and +5% from beyond the arch. They also have a +4.2 rebound margin against some of the top teams. On the other side the Clippers despite their last second win against the Wizards which they trailed 64-47 have played all 5 of their last 5 games at home against the Wizards, Spurs, Magic, Pacers and Rockets. They are -5.1 ppg and -3.9 FG% as well as +8% from three point defense. Granted those are tough games but the fact that they are at home should show you something.
Another thing I expect to happen is for the Twolves to get to the FT line more as the Clippers are -2.5 FTA on the road this year and that was a state they dominated in both close wins. Finally the Clippers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 on the road and the Wolves are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 4-0 in their last 4 on 1 day rest and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 overall. Wolves are not favorites often but they back it up here tonight with revenge on their mind.
