Johnny Cueto starts for the reds on 4 days rest on the road after a 103 pitch effort last time out. Cueto has not been nearly as good on the road this year as he typically is and I actualy think the Cubs have great value here with Jason Hammel. Hammel has 5 days rest along with being at home and having better raw stats than Cueto. Hammel has an amazing 9:1 K/BB ratio on the year and it's not like the Reds are tearing the cover off the ball. .228 average 3.02 runs per 9 on the road vs. RHP. Reds are really better vs. LHP, and their bullpen is not nearly as good as the Cubs. Overall I just think the Cubs have every advantage including the starting pitcher, offense, bullpen, and home field advantage. Take the Cubs.