FREDDY WILLS RELEASED PICK - LOUISVILLE / FSU UNDER 46
Oct 17, 2015 12:01 AM Freddy Wills
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#1 Overall College Football Expert - THREE Top-10 Finishes - (#1 TWICE!) - Freddy rarely releases a total play in college football, but when he does you cash 64% of the time! He's gone 39-22 ATS in his career on college football totals. This game comes w/ a full in depth analysis between an exciting match up between two ACC programs.
if he does not win!
I really like the under in this game as both teams have much stronger defenses with the offenses being the weakness. Neither team likes to pick up the pace and this game should be close throughout. What I really like about this under is each team really struggles in the red zone to put 6 points on the board instead of 3, and each defense has been dominant in red zone defense holding opponents to 44% and 41% TD rate which is extremely impressive.
I also like that Florida State is not turning the ball over (1 TO on the season), both teams have very good special teams coverage and very good punters.
Louisville does come in off the bye week, and Florida State off the big win against their in state rival Miami. Dalvin Cook took that game over, but I still donât think heâs 100% with the hamstring. Miamiâs defense is really really bad, and they only managed 29 points. Points will be at a premium in this game and the under is 20-7-1 in Louisvilleâs last 28 games in October 8-1 toward the under on grass while Florida State is under the number 13-4 in their last 17 on grass including 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
Where to find Freddy?