The Rangers lost yesterday and it's a perfect spot to take advantage of some value on a bounce back game. Rangers have averaged over 6.5 runs per 9 over their last 10 games combined and go up against a strong righty in Scott Baker who has a 0 ERA over his last 3 starts. Twins are being cautious with him as he just came off DL going 5 IP in last two starts so that means bullpen for the Twins and they are among the worst in the league in bullpen ERA. Baker has 3 starts at Texas over his career and gave up 12 ER in 16.2 innings. Texas is #2 in the league in OPS vs. RHP with .787 OPS while the Twins face a lefty and are ranked 19th .690. Harrison had a good start at Minny earlier this year 6 innigns 5 hits 1 ER and will try to continue what he's been doing of late. Texas is 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a RH starter while the Twins are 8-18 in Baker's last 26 as a road under dog. Beltre/Kinsler/Cruz are a combined 20-61 off Baker with 3 HR. Today's home umpire Muchlinski has umped a home team win 38 out of his last 52 games.
Two tough losses for this team, but they hang in there against a Braves team that continues to struggle to hit. Kevin Correia is 9-2 on the road this year with a 2.85 ERA whiel Lowe is 2-1 with a5.04 ERA at home and has a 5.21 ERA at night. Now he's never lost vs. the Pirates, but McKutchen is 5-12 vs. Lowe with a lot of success and I believe this is the game the Pirates take as Atlanta is scoring just 1.98 runs per 9 over their last 10 games and their bullpen has not been as dominant over their last 10 games.
