Royals start Daniel Duffy in what looks like a mismatch going up against Carmona who has a 2.11 ERA over his last 3 starts, but a closer look and Duffy has only struggled against three teams in his last 10 starts, Yankees, Red Sox and Rockies on the road. Those are tough starts and he actually showed his toughness by coming back with a quality start at home vs. Boston last time out. Cleveland is ranked 21st in OPS vs. LHP this year and have been worse at home. Carmona over his last 3 years is just 4-10 in August and KC has 145 AB a .310 average and .842 OPS collectively.
This is my best bet on Saturday and it does go late.. First all the Mariners went on a hot run over their last 7 games scoring 38 runs, but those were all on the road and all against RHP. They are last in the league vs. LHP in terms of OPS with a pathetic .627 OPS and are last in home OPS. I don't mind backing the White Sox who are 20-8 in their last 28 meetings vs. the Mariners. The Mariners start Pineda and that's why you see the line where it is, but Pineda has not been as good of late 5.29 ERA over his last 3 starts, but really has not been that dominating pitcher he was in the first half which I knew would happen the Mariners are 4-10 in his last 14 starts. JOhny Danks has been dominating vs. the Mariners over his last 7 starts he's 5-1 with a 1.76 ERA and in his last 3 at Seattle he's got a 0.84 WHIP and 0.76 ERA. Seattle has 173 AB and a .554 OPS vs. Danks who has been very consistent in the second half and continues to put up solid numbers that I think will continue on Saturday.
