As bad as it's been this year for Miss they now face a team they can beat up on offensively. Fresno is a good team and they can certainly shock a BCS team but they are no mystery to an Ole Miss team that is desperate for a win here with some tough games upcoming. Fresno only beat an FCS opponent by 5 points at home earlier this year and have been struggling just as much. They are 11-28-1 in their last 40 as a favorite. This is a game that you normally find Fresno as the dog, but in years past they have relished that roll into victories. I think the oddsmakers are trying to be a little sneaky here and I'm not buying it for several reasons.
For one Ole Miss has the same big offensive line that was said to be the best in the SEC as they did last year that ran the ball 425 yards against Freson good for 9 yard per carry average. They have played some good defensive lines early but this is a game they can get the running game going with Brandon Bolden. Actually they can probably pass the ball a bit as Fresno has not shown an ability to lock that part of their defense either. On the other side of the ball the return of Kentrell Lockett on the line has the defense playing better of late. They already have 7 interceptions and it's the fastest and most athletic inexperienced QB Derek Carr has seent his year. They held Georgia to just 3 points in the 2nd half. Lastly Miss also has the #1 punt game in kicking and returning and that will play a huge factor tonight. Ole Miss is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non conference games 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as a road dog.
