Western Michigan is the more balanced offense and arguably the most balanced offense that Bowling Green has faced year to date. They also in my opinion have the better defense. Just look at what they did against Ohio on the road vs. what Bowling Green did against Ohio last week at home giving up over 500 yards. Western Michigan has some serious talent at WR in Daniel Braverman who I don't think Bowling Green will have an answer for. Western Michigan is also 17th in the nation at running the ball, and they have just 3 turnovers in their last 6 games. They will control the clock tonight and not make mistakes which will be the key to winning this game. Ohio possessed the ball for 37 minutes last week and 299 yards rushing, but lost the game. I expect Western Michigan to do a better job in this one.
No disrespect to Matt Johnson or Bowling Green, but I just like Western Michigan a bit more. The biggest key here for me that made this a POD on the money line. Western Michigan penalized just 5 times per game while Bowling Green sits at 9.2 per game. Western Michigan is ranked 29th in special teams efficiency and Bowling Green is ranked 113th. The little things will decide the game, and I think this spread should have been a pk or small favors for Western Michigan. I'll take this value every time.
