Indiana State goes up against Vanderbilt. Ind State is a team that returns 4 starters from last year's team and they have already shown they can be solid this year again almost winning the Old Spice Classic, but they blew a 9 point lead to Minnesota. This team shoots the FT's well 75.3% and is getting their over 7 more times than opponents while Vandy just 66% and they just are not living up to their preseason hype. They struggle on offense when they play a decent defensive team and Ind State has the ability to give them fits as they only turn the ball over 9.5 times per game and they've played solid defense. Vanderbilt lost outright as 14 point favorites against a similar Cleveland State team earlier this year at home.
These are two teams that know each other well playing two times a year, NC Wilm continues to play well as under dogs going 5-1 ATS so far this season they just won at Ill State as 12.5 dogs 63-54. VCU is off a huge win vs. Richmod so in my opinion this line is inflated while VCU is likely looking ahead to UAB who beat them last year. VCU is only shooting 39.7% from the field this year and NC Wilm plays solid defense especially from 3 point on the road allowing just 25.5% from the perimeter. That's important because VCU is hoisting up 22 attempts per game from the perimeter. This is not the same VCU team that went to the Final Four a year ago and they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Colonial because of infalted lines like this one. NC Wilmington's freshmen Adam Smith is becoming a star and should give them fits. NC Wilmington is 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 as a dog 13+ and they should have every opportunity to win this one.
Other than facing off against Arizona Valpo has faced nobody. They are 5-0 at home, but they are among the nation's slowest paced teams and even in their 5 home games they are allowing opponents to shoot the ball 10 more times than them. That's outrageous 10 more field goal attempts and they are not even playing good defense to be able to over come that with 48.1% on the season 40% form 3.
Oakland meanwhile averages over 62 FGA that's more than 12 more than Valpo. They like to play fast and that should have an impact. This Oakland team again is the favorite to come out of their conference for the third straight year and they have played 4 big teams already in Alabama, Michigan, Arkansas and Tennessee and they came up with a win vs. Tennessee. Valpo does not have the defense to shut this team down and they don't have the scoring to keep up though they are ranked high in FG% they really haven't been pushed with tempo like they will be tonight and they are due to lose at home especially since they are averaging 17 turnovers per game. Oakland is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a road dog.
