We had one of the worse losses last night with south Florida and its been that kind of unlucky season but we are still +15 units and today we look to go 2-0 with this package guaranteed or one day is free!

St. Joes -1.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Saint Joes was coming off a huge win at home over the A10’s top team Temple and they went on the road on a difficult trip to play St. Bonaventure.  They looked like they were going to pull off an impressive win up 67-61 with 2:58 left, but St. Bonaventure hit two 3’s to send it to OT where again St. Joes had an 84-78 lead with 20 seconds left only to lose the game in 2 OT 98-93.  Now they get their shot at revenge where they are 2-0 this year in revenge spots.
 
St. Bonaventure over achieved in this game hitting 55.6% from three.  This team only shot 44.6% overall from the field.  Overall St. Bonaventure only attempts 28.4% 3’s in conference play so I don’t see them attempting 18 again or if they do they won’t be nearly as successful.  Besides Andrew Nicholson who had 32 points and 14 rebounds Bonaventure won’t have success inside the arch as St. Joseph’s was #11 in the nation in 2 point defense this year and they have the defensive player of the year in CJ Aiken who averaged 3.7 blocks/game.  Aiken will keep Bonaventure away from the basket, but Halil Kanscevic will have to be the guy that matches up against Nicholson.  I expect St. Joes to come with a better strategy to stop him in this game.  I also don’t’ anticipate St. Bonaventure to get to the line 9 more times and to win the rebounding by a 15 margin as they were +14 on the offensive glass mainly because they missed so many shots.
 
Iowa +11 (2.2* BONUS)
I like Iowa in the early game to cover and revenge their 61-95 loss in East Lansing.  This game on neutral court in Indiana and Michigan State ended the season losing two straight games and they lost freshmen sensation Branden Dawsen who was their 3rd leading scorer and shot 57.7% 8.4ppg and 4.5 rebound per game.  The Spartans have always been great at replacing injured or suspended players so it’s next guy up, but their could be an adjustment period today as Iowa has a little bit of momentum and confidence after yesterday.
 
Iowa is capable of beating anyone they beat Wisconsin twice this year, Michigan and Indian.  On the road they still can shoot the ball at a 46.1% clip to Michigan State’s 43.3%.  Michigan State just has a great defense.  If Iowa wants a chance to win they have to step up on the defensive end and I think they can.  Matt Gatens will be the key here as he’s averaged 23 per game over the last 6 on 54.9% shooting and has been red hot from 3 hitting 34 of his last 58.  He’s the Sr. leader saying, “I want to keep playing, and I don’t want to take this uniform off.”  He’ll have his  team in a competitive game this morning.

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