Phillies/Braves U6+104 (1.5* play)
Halladay vs. Hanson.  I normally lean to Hanson looking at the numbers and considering the Phillies are 28th with a .634 OPS vs. RHP, but the Braves have injuries in their line up and Halladay should be on top of his game knowing that he can’t give up any runs if he wants a chance to win.  It’s also some what of a bounce back start for him and an important division game.  Hanson on the other side has an easier line up and has dominated the Phillies before holding them to a .200 average and .565 OPS in 115 AB.
 
Mariners +189 (1* play)
Why?  Well there is enough value here considering the Mariners have 149 AB and a .356 average and .911 OPS vs. James Shields.  They’ve been known to get runs in bunches and their line up is not all that bad on the road ranked 15th with a .701 OPS.  At home they are just an unfortunate offense playing in a stadium geared towards pitchers.  Rays on the flip side have never faced Beavan so it may take a few times through the line up to catch on.
 
Indians +116 (4* MLB POD)
Indians lost yesterday, but they’ve been one of the best road teams all year long and today I see them bouncing back in a big way against Phillip Humber who I think is going to struggle here for a couple games after his perfect game.  Publics perception on Humber is still high so we are getting great odds going against him.  Humber as we mentioned is relying more on his slider than ever before as his second pitch.  Indians are 11th in the league in hitting the slider and 9th vs. the fast ball.  Indians are also getting Choo back and Damon who could help against the righty in a big way.
 
Josh Tomlin goes for the Indians and he’s been solid but unlucky.  He posts a 3.51 xFIP compared to his 5.48 ERA due to an unlucky .338 BABIP.  To me that’s about to change particularly since the White Sox are 20th at home in OPS .688 and they are 27th in the league in hitting the cutter which is Tomlins best pitch.  White Sox also have not really seen Tomlin much which should result in good results here.  Indians by the way are 3rd in the league in OPS on the road with a .799 OPS.  Their success on the road continues on Wednesday.
 

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