Red Sox -133 (4.5* MLB POD)
Both Beckett and Scherzer have pitched well since the last time the two faced each others teams and were horrific.  Beckett has been better against better competition, and he’s pitching at home and he’s backed by a more consistent offense and bullpen.  I think those are huge factors in a game like this where the odds are relatively low.
 
First lets go over Josh Beckett who is 3-0 with a .88 WHIP and 1.25 ERA over his last 3 starts.  Beckett is usually a sure bet to rebound and have some revenge against a team he’s struggled against in his last start where he gave up 5 HR, 2 each to Cabrera and Fielder.  Beckett has always enjoyed pitching at Fenway more than on the road and his 1.69 ERA in the last 3 years over 4 starts against Detroit before his blow up this year should be a sign that his last start against them was more of a fluke.  He also enjoys a 2.79 ERA over the last 3 years in May and he’s doing it again this year.  Boston is 30-11 in his last 41 starts as a home favorite.
 
Scherzer on the other hand has pitched better in his last two starts, but he still is giving up nearly 2 HR/9 along with his major league leading 12 K/9.  His last two starts were against the Twins and Pirates both ranked 25th and 29th in OPS vs. RHP.  His other solid start was against Oakland ranked 29th.  The Red Sox are ranked 4th in OPS vs. RHP and are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. RH starter.  Scherzer has only averaged 5.1 IP in his 6 road starts this year which means the Tigers bullpen will play a critical role for nearly half the game.  That’s not a good thing as the Tigers bullpen is ranked 17th, and they have a 5.37 ERA on the road.  Scherzer has a 11.81 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Boston.

Where to find Freddy?